mandag 14. september 2026

Namrata Goswami: China's Territorial Claim on Arunchal Pradesh

China’s territorial claim on the Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh has been a major bone of contention between India and China. China bases it claim on the argument that historical ties existed between the Tawang monastery in Arunachal Pradesh and the Lhasa monastery. Hence, the Chinese logic is that given Tibet is now part of China, Arunachal Pradesh should form a part of it.

Both countries fought a border war in Arunachal Pradesh in 1962 and the situation remains unpleasant due to repeated Chinese foreign office statements reiterating the claim. In the light of this backdrop, this Occasional Paper offers four alternative scenarios in 2032 with regard to China’s territorial claim. The year 2032 has been chosen for a significant reason. A 20 year timeline is useful as it provides a defining guide-line to policy makers on what policy interventions can be undertaken in the interim period in order to ensure that a positive scenario unfolds while a negative scenario is averted.