onsdag 27. august 2025

India’s $434 billion merchandise exports engine: What’s at stake as Trump’s 50% tariffs kick in

India’s exports to the U.S. will invite a steep 50% tariff, as U.S. President Donald Trump’s additional 25% levies on New Delhi over its Russian oil purchases took effect on Wednesday.

Analysts are warning that the higher tariffs risk substantially diminishing the allure of Indian exports to the U.S., compared to regional peers.

“India’s attractiveness as an emerging manufacturing hub will be hugely undermined,” Shilan Shah, deputy chief emerging markets economist at Capital Economics, said in a note when the duties were announced. He estimates that U.S. spending drives around 2% of India’s GDP and the extra 25% tariff is “large enough to have a material impact.”