onsdag 6. oktober 2021

Why is China increasing its military pressure on Taiwan?

Last week, China sent about 150 warplanes into Taiwan’s air defence identification zone (ADIZ), in a massive escalation of its military activity directed towards the island. Over the past two years, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) has increased its activity, with near-daily sorties into the ADIZ and frequent military drills in nearby maritime areas.

Tracking data of the sorties shows a change in the makeup of the PLA air force missions. While surveillance aircraft were the most frequently sent, the balance has now tipped to see fighter jets dominate. The use of bombers, capable of carrying nuclear weapons, has also increased. Speculation is growing China will try to mount an invasion. Estimates range from within a few years to decades.

On Wednesday, Taiwan’s defence minister claimed China was capable now, but by 2025 would much more easily be able to launch a “full-scale invasion”.