onsdag 26. mai 2021

Covid-19: Has India's deadly second wave peaked?

India has recorded 26 million Covid-19 cases - second only to the US. It is the new epicentre of the global pandemic. The second wave in recent weeks has overwhelmed the healthcare system, leaving hospitals struggling to cope and critical drugs and oxygen in short supply. But infections now seem to be slowing down. On Monday, cases fell below 200,000 for the first time since 14 April.

Experts believe that at a national level, the wave is waning. The seven-day rolling average of new reported cases during the wave peaked at 392,000 and has been on a steady decline ever since for the past two weeks, according to Dr Rijo M John, a health economist. But there's a catch. Even if the second wave appears to be waning for India as a whole, it is by no means true for all states. It appears to have crested in states such as Maharashtra, Delhi and Chhattisgarh, but is still rising in Tamil Nadu, for example, as in much of the north east; and the situation in Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal is unclear.