fredag 15. januar 2021

Coronavirus: global death toll could hit 5 million by March, Chinese researchers say

A team of Chinese experts has warned that the global impact of the
coronavirus pandemic could be worse this year than it was in 2020. By the beginning of March, the death toll from Covid-19 could rise to 5 million – from just under 2 million on Thursday – according to figures calculated by a team from China’s Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), People’s Liberation Army and public health research institutes.

The researchers, led by professor Xu Jianguo from the CDC, said in a study published on January 8 in the peer-reviewed journal Disease Surveillance that the Chinese government and the public should brace for more external shocks. “The development of the pandemic is hard to foresee, but a numerical estimate by modelling can provide some useful information,” Xu said.