onsdag 21. november 2018

Is Nepal falling into a Chinese debt trap?

In June of this year, Nepali prime minister K P Sharma Oli travelled to China to sign agreements worth $2.4 billion on everything from infrastructure and energy projects to post-disaster reconstruction efforts. The highlight of the deals is an audacious plan to build a railway line through the Himalayas. The line will link the Tibetan border town of Kerung with the Nepali capital, Kathmandu, and tourist towns of Pokhara and Lumbini (Buddha’s birthplace). The railway is being trumpeted as a potential windfall for Nepal’s tourism industry, with some 2.5 million Chinese tourists expected to visit annually.

If the rail line is developed as proposed, Nepal would also be well placed as a major transit hub for trade between China and its rival, India. One study estimates Nepal’s trade could be boosted by 35% to 45% when the rail line and other BRI infrastructure projects are completed.